Not only have the Dallas Stars found their mojo in their last two games, but I've also won a couple of bets as a result.
Thankfully, I didn't fall to a clean sweep in the Conference Final and trusting the teams I believe in is finally start to pay off. Of course, I'll be betting on the Stars again in Game 6 tonight, but I also have a player prop bet that I'd love to share.
Let's jump into them.
NHL Playoff betting record
- 44-41-1 (+2.17 units)
Best NHL bets for tonight
- Stars -130 vs. Golden Knights
- Tyler Seguin UNDER 0.5 points (-125)
Stars -130 vs. Golden Knights
I have been riding the Stars in every game this series and I see no reason to back off them now.
They're leading the Golden Knights in virtually every single advanced metric in this series. For example, if you look at expected goals, the Stars hold the advantage, averaging 2.86 per 60 minutes compared to the Golden Knights at 2.40.
They're also sporting a higher CORSI% and FENWICK%, both of which measure all types of shots for and against, while also averaging more high-danger scoring chances per game.
The most promising sign for the Stars is that their goaltender, Jake Oettinger, has finally begun to play to his potential. He has stopped 68 of the last 72 shots that he's faced, and if he continues to play at that level, the Golden Knights are going to have a tough time eliminating their opponent.
I'll back the Stars as home favorites tonight to force a Game 7 in Vegas.
Tyler Seguin UNDER 0.5 points (-125)
This bet is a little bit contrary to my Stars pick, but I can't pass up what I think is a great value prop on Seguin. He only has nine points in 18 playoff games this postseason, and his usage has dropped off the past few games.
In two of the five games against the Golden Knights , he has been on the ice for 14:15 or less, including Game 5 where he only got 22 shifts.
He has also yet to record a point in this series against the Golden Knights, as the Stars have looked elsewhere for offense. I like him to remain pointless against tonight at -125 odds.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
