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Mets vs. Nationals prediction and odds for Monday, May 15 (Nats are live 'dogs)

2023-05-15 22:24
Tonight is the conclusion of the New York Mets and Washington Nationals weekend series. The Mets enter this matchup in DC with a 2-1 series lead after Max Scherzer beat his former team and New York hung scored eight runs, all in the fifth inning, for an 8-2 victory. The Mets are 20-21 and Washington...
Mets vs. Nationals prediction and odds for Monday, May 15 (Nats are live 'dogs)

Tonight is the conclusion of the New York Mets and Washington Nationals weekend series. The Mets enter this matchup in DC with a 2-1 series lead after Max Scherzer beat his former team and New York hung scored eight runs, all in the fifth inning, for an 8-2 victory. The Mets are 20-21 and Washington is 17-23.

The Nationals will look to take a series split with Patrick Corbin making his ninth of the season against David Peterson who is making his eighth for New York. Corbin is 1-5 with a 4.87 ERA, but has been better in his last two outings. Peterson is 1-5 with a 7.68 ERA.

Let's get into the odds for the final game of this NL East series in DC.

Mets vs. Nationals odds, run line and total

Mets vs. Nationals prediction and pick

Corbin has had a disastrous couple of seasons in Washington after helping the Nats win the World Series and he is really the only remnant of that era still on this team, but he is starting to contribute to a promising Nationals season. Since April 15, he has an ERA of 3.56 and a FIP of 3.92 with 0.89 walks per nine innings. He's been a very effective starting pitcher in the Nats rotation and will give them a chance to win today against another lefty who's struggling much worse.

Peterson only survived 3.1 innings last time out before allowing four earned runs and getting pulled. He's given up eight homers on the season and despite having 40 strikeouts, has been far from dominant. He's allowed 45 hits in 34.0 innings of work. The Nationals also hit lefties really well, so it could be a big problem for Peterson and the Mets.

The Nats are sixth in OPS vs. left-handed pitchers and that comes with only seven home runs which is last. They don't have pop from the right side in their lineup, but they work a lot of walks and don't strike out against lefties which allows them to manufacture runs. The Mets are fourth in homers against lefties, but are 21st in OPS. Starling Marte, one of their key right-handed bats, has a .481 OPS in May, so I like the Nationals to have the more consistent offense against the worse pitcher and Washington to win as a home dog.

Follow all Josh Yourish's bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change