It's possible that the NBA Finals matchup is solidified tonight with the Miami Heat sitting just one win away from facing the Denver Nuggets for the NBA title.
Miami is looking to keep a perfect record at home against a Boston team that has wilted in this series, getting blown out by 26 in Game 3.
I am sticking to two player props on Tuesday night after a 3-for-3 night in the prop market in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals.
Let's break down the plays:
NBA best bets record to date
- NBA best bets record for 2022-23 season: 342-302-4 (+10.0347 units)
NBA best bets today
- Jaylen Brown UNDER 23.5 Points (-115)
- Max Strus OVER 11.5 Points (-120)
Jaylen Brown UNDER 23.5 Points (-115)
Jaylen Brown has struggled since the start of the second round, clearing this number just three times in 10 games and shooting terribly in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Brown is shooting just 37.7 percent from the field and 10.0 percent from 3 against the Heat, and I don't expect him to turn that around on the road facing elimination.
The All-NBA wing is averaging just 21.0 points per game over his last 10. Don't fall into the trap and bet the OVER.
Max Strus OVER 11.5 Points (-120)
Prior to Game 2 of this series, Max Strus had cleared this line in six straight contests.
He finished Game 2 with 11 points and Game 3 with 10 points, but I think he's due for a bounce-back showing in Game 4.
Strus took fewer than 10 shots for the first time in seven games in Game 2, then only took nine shots in Game 3 because Miami won in a blowout.
If the usage returns to where it was earlier this postseason, this is a value line for the Heat sharpshooter.
—
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
