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Mercury vs. Storm prediction and odds for WNBA Commissioner's Cup

2023-06-25 00:49
The Phoenix Mercury have dropped four straight games heading into their matchup with the Seattle Storm on Saturday night.The bright side for Phoenix? Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner are both listed as probable for this game, meaning it’s more likely than not that they’ll be back in...
Mercury vs. Storm prediction and odds for WNBA Commissioner's Cup

The Phoenix Mercury have dropped four straight games heading into their matchup with the Seattle Storm on Saturday night.

The bright side for Phoenix? Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner are both listed as probable for this game, meaning it's more likely than not that they'll be back in the lineup.

The team has struggled without them, and the Storm (3-9) are certainly a beatable team if both players are in the lineup for Phoenix.

Jewell Loyd has been great for Seattle, but can she carry the team to a win at home in this game?

Seattle is set as a slight favorite, so let's break down the odds and my best bet for this game:

Mercury vs. Storm odds, spread and total

Mercury vs. Storm prediction and pick

These are the two worst teams in the WNBA in terms of net rating, but I have to give the Mercury a little bit of a pass since Taurasi and Griner have been out.

Seattle, on the other hand, doesn't have nearly as good of an excuse.

Loyd has been great, but the Storm only have one other player averaging double-digit points per game in Ezi Magbegor. As a result, the team is dead last in the WNBA in offensive rating this season.

I have a hard time taking the Storm as favorites, especially against a semi-healthy Mercury team.

Phoenix's defense (last in the WNBA in DRTG) should be improved with Griner protecting the rim, and I can't trust a Seattle team that relies heavily on the 3-ball to win at a high rate given its lack of scoring threats.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.