The Dream and Sparks meet for a second straight game after a cross-country flight, can we expect different results?
Atlanta blew out Los Angeles at home, 112-84, on Sunday and will look to make it two straight over the Sparks, but this time on the road. The Dream play at the fastest tempo in the WNBA, will that help or hurt its cause on Wednesday night out west?
Here are the odds and our best bet:
Dream vs. Sparks odds, spread and total
Dream vs. Sparks prediction and pick
While the most recent matchup last weekend flew over the total with 196 points scored in regulation, I'm going to go under the inflated total on Wednesday. With the total two points higher than the prior game, I'm going to bank on some regression to the mean from the Dream on the road.
Atlanta shot 54% from the field and nearly 43% from beyond the arc in the prior meeting. Factor in that the team went 29-for-34 from the charity stripe and it makes sense that the Dream scored 112 points, but I'm not counting on it again.
The Sparks are an above average defensive team and I believe we see the team buckle down on that side of the ball with some natural variance on the court. While Atlanta gets a ton of shots up by playing the fastest pace in the WNBA, this team is only league average in effective field goal percentage. I don't see the shooting numbers keeping up on the road.
The Sparks would rather play a defensive minded game in part because the offense struggles, 10th in effective field goal percentage, and I think they dictate the terms following a blowout loss.
I'll take the under on Wednesday night.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
