Before this month's U.S. Open, the PGA Tour will head North of the Border for the Canadian Open.
This year, it's set to be hosted at Oakdale Golf & Country Club in Toronto. It's the first year that this course has hosted a PGA Tour event, so we have no course history to base our picks on.
With that being said, it's a relatively weak field as most golfers are taking the week off to prepare for the U.S. Open.
In this article, I'm going to power rank the top 10 golfers in the field, based on their betting odds and my personal opinion of their chances to win this week.
Let's jump into it.
Canadian Open power rankings
1) Tyrrell Hatton +1100
Tyrrell Hatton has been on a great run but he's still searching for a win this season. Over his last five starts, he has gone T19, T3, T5, T15, and T12 at last week's Memorial Tournament.
With all due respect to the back-to-back champ, Rory McIlroy, I think Hatton should be atop the rankings list for this week's event.
2) Rory McIlroy +450
Rory McIlroy is the back-to-back Canadian Open winner. He won the event by seven strokes in 2019, then again last year. The event took a break in 2020 and 2021 due to COVID.
With that being said, I still can't trust the current version of McIlroy, especially at his betting odds. He has the live favorite heading into the final round this past weekend, but his wedge game fell apart and he finished T7.
With that being said, there's no way I can drop him down further than No. 2 on my rankings list.
3) Sam Burns +1400
Sam Burns is another golfer who is rounding into form, going T6 and T16 over the last two weeks and his putting is starting to get dialed in. He gained +0.55 strokes per round with his putter last week.
I'd be shocked if he doesn't have another good week in this one.
4) Matt Fitzpatrick +1400
Matt Fitzpatrick is coming off a strong T9 finish at The Memorial, gaining strokes in all four areas. His approach game still isn't what it was last season, but it's much improved from where it was early in the year.
In a weak field such as this week, he could make a run at it.
5) Justin Rose +1600
People forget about Justin Rose, and they shouldn't He has gone T16, T25, T9, and T12 in his last four starts. His approach game has been completely on fire as well, gaining +2.04 strokes per round on the field at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
He's live to get his second win of the season.
6) Cameron Young +1500
Cameron Young is going to be a popular bet this week at 15/1, but I'd personally recommend staying away. His putting has been completely disastrous lately. He lost 2.12 strokes on the field with his putting at the PGA Championship and then 2.59 strokes with his putting at the Memorial, both resulted in a missed cut.
Sure, he could bounce back in a big way, but I wouldn't bet on it at 15/1.
7) Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Tommy Fleetwood had a bad outing in his last start at the Charles Schwab Challenge, missing the cut and losing a ton of strokes with his approach game, but before that he was on fire, with three straight starts of T18 or better.
I don't have faith in him to win an event with a stacked field, but he could pick off a win at the Canadian Open with there being around only 15 guys with a realistic chance to win.
8) Shane Lowry +2000
Keep an eye on Shane Lowry this week at +2000. His approach game has been great lately and it's resulted in a T12 finish at the PGA Championship and a T16 finish at The Memorial.
His short game hasn't been quite as hot, but if he can dial in the flat stick, he's going to be a strong bet at 20/1.
9) Sahith Theegala +3300
Sahith Theegala hasn't been so great lately, and his lack of driving accuracy could hurt him at Oakdale this week. With that being said, it's only a matter of time for him to win on the PGA Tour and the rest of his game is so strong that if he can find consistency off the tee, he can get the job done.
10) Corey Conners +1800
I don't love betting on Canadians at the Canadian Open. It's their national tournament and a Canadian hasn't won it since Pat Fletcher in 1954. I think a big reason for it is the amount of pressure Canadians feel here. It has to be a disadvantage to feel major-level of pressure while the rest of the field is playing stress free.
Conners is certainly the best Canadian at this event, but he's coming off a missed cut at The Memorial. If I had to bet a Canadian, I'd take Conners, but I'll stay away from him, personally.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
